Paganese vs SSC Giugliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
REG
1 - 0
PAG
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PAG
4 - 1
CUO
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 0
PAG
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAG
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PAG
3 - 2
UCG
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Giugliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SSC
1 - 1
ASG
33%
27%
40%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
BSL
3 - 0
SSC
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
SSC
2 - 2
ACS
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
SSC
3 - 2
VIN
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
RIE
3 - 0
SSC
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |