Paganese vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 0
PAG
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 1
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
PAG
72%
19%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
SIR
33%
26%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
USV
0 - 0
PAG
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 0
TAR
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
6 - 0
ASM
73%
19%
9%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 2
JUS
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
MAT
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 2
CAS
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |