Paganese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
FIA
29%
28%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
MAT
18%
25%
58%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 0
PAG
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 1
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 2
LEC
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FIA
1 - 1
FCC
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 0
FRA
33%
29%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 1
FON
32%
28%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |