Paganese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
54.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ASM
1 - 2
PAG
56%
24%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PAG
2 - 2
ISC
25%
26%
48%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 0
NUO
16%
24%
60%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
PAG
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 0
MES
57%
26%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
AKR
2 - 0
FCC
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LCR
0 - 1
FCC
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 1
LEC
20%
26%
55%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
MAT
46%
27%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |