Paganese vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAG
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAG
0 - 0
SOR
23%
26%
52%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PER
0 - 0
PAG
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
REG
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RAV
1 - 0
PAG
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SOR
2 - 0
ACL
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACL
1 - 0
ASS
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
COM
3 - 0
ACL
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
ACL
3 - 1
BV5
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
REG
0 - 2
ACL
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |