Paganese vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
57.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FCV
1 - 0
PAG
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PAG
0 - 0
VAR
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAG
56%
25%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 1
SOR
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ASF
2 - 0
PAG
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ARZ
3 - 1
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LEC
0 - 1
ARZ
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ARZ
2 - 2
USC
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BEN
0 - 1
ARZ
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ARZ
2 - 2
ACL
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |