Padiham vs AFC Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
46.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SQU
1 - 1
PAD
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 5
IRL
25%
21%
55%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
WYA
5 - 1
PAD
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 2
BAR
33%
22%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
SQU
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
LBR
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LTO
3 - 2
ALI
52%
20%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
4 - 4
IOM
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CHE
3 - 1
ALI
15%
17%
68%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
IRL
4 - 0
ALI
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |