Padernense vs 11 Esperanças analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padernense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 0
PAD
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PAD
3 - 0
MEG
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PAD
3 - 1
IMO
13%
19%
69%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +4 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 2
PAD
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
PAD
4 - 1
SIL
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
11 Esperanças
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 0
ODI
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ESP
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ARM
2 - 3
ESP
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 2
LAG
16%
20%
65%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |