Paderborn vs Jahn Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
6º
6º
32
1º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 0
MAG
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STP
2 - 2
PAD
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PAD
7 - 2
HOL
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
KAI
0 - 1
PAD
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PAD
4 - 2
HAN
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SSV
0 - 0
HOL
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
F95
4 - 0
SSV
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SSV
0 - 6
KSC
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HAN
1 - 0
SSV
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SSV
0 - 0
FCN
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |