Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PUM
0 - 0
PAC
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAZ
4 - 1
PAC
37%
26%
36%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PAC
4 - 0
TIJ
63%
21%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TIG
3 - 0
PAC
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
AME
5 - 2
PAC
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
ATS
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
3 - 1
VER
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 2
KCW
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 0
TOL
47%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |