Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAC
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PAC
2 - 1
QRO
46%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PAC
0 - 1
CAZ
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 1
PAC
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
ATL
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
UDG
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 1
MER
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PUM
3 - 2
TOL
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
MER
6 - 1
TOL
25%
27%
48%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |