Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
QRO
2 - 1
PAC
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
CAZ
41%
25%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 2
PAC
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 4
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 2
SAP
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
TIG
2 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
AME
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |