Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
PAC
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PAC
3 - 0
NEC
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
PAC
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PAC
3 - 2
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
5 - 0
PAC
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
NEC
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MON
3 - 3
TOL
47%
26%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |