Campeón de campeones México Final
Global 0-2
Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
SNL
0 - 3
PAC
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
PAC
2 - 0
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
AME
3 - 1
PAC
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ATS
0 - 0
TOL
40%
28%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
7 - 0
TIG
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
SNL
1 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |