Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 2
PAC
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
PAC
2 - 0
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 0
CAZ
43%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
VER
1 - 3
PAC
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 0
SNL
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
TOL
3 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 1
TOL
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 2
DOR
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |