CD Ourense vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
CDO
2 - 0
BET
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
ARE
0 - 1
CDO
22%
23%
56%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
CDO
3 - 1
DEP
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
CHO
3 - 1
CDO
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
CDO
2 - 1
COX
80%
12%
7%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
LUG
0 - 0
ATO
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
BET
0 - 2
LUG
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
LUG
7 - 1
ARE
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
LUG
8 - 0
BOU
83%
12%
6%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
GRA
1 - 5
LUG
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +2 |