CD Ourense vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
2.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
COX
3 - 4
CDO
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
CDO
2 - 0
CEL
80%
12%
7%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
ATO
2 - 2
CDO
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
CDO
3 - 1
ALO
77%
14%
9%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
BOU
4 - 1
CDO
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -2 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
CHO
1 - 2
BET
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
ARE
3 - 0
CHO
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
CHO
1 - 2
GRA
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
DEP
3 - 0
CHO
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
LUG
4 - 1
CHO
88%
8%
3%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |