CD Ourense vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
PON
2 - 0
CDO
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ALC
3 - 1
CDO
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
CDO
0 - 1
MEL
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CDO
1 - 0
NEG
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
CEL
2 - 2
CDO
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ALC
3 - 1
ALC
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ALC
0 - 2
NEG
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
SSR
0 - 0
ALC
39%
28%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 2
VEC
54%
24%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ULP
2 - 0
ALC
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |