Otterup vs Aarup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otterup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 2
OTB
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
OTB
1 - 2
MAR
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
OTB
2 - 1
SYD
79%
13%
9%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 1
OTB
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
OTB
0 - 2
KOL
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AAR
3 - 0
SYD
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 0
AAR
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AAR
2 - 4
KOL
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
RIN
3 - 0
AAR
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AAR
0 - 2
NAE
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |