Ostia Mare vs Selargius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HYR
2 - 1
OST
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
OST
1 - 0
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ACI
1 - 1
OST
18%
23%
59%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
OST
3 - 0
CIV
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
OST
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Selargius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SEL
2 - 2
LUP
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
4 - 2
SEL
75%
16%
10%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 3
SOR
42%
25%
34%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SEL
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
HYR
1 - 0
SEL
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |