NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
9º
7º
49
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 1
OSI
36%
26%
39%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 3
OSI
3%
11%
86%
|
83 | 34 | 49 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 0
SLA
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 0
OSI
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
0 - 2
RIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 0
IST
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HNS
0 - 0
NKV
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
NGM
1 - 2
NKV
8%
16%
77%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 1
NKV
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NKV
2 - 0
SLA
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |