Ørn Horten vs Lyn 1896 FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
14º
7º
62
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
ORN
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ORN
1 - 3
FKA
23%
21%
56%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
ORN
46%
23%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ORN
5 - 0
VAL
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EGE
6 - 0
ORN
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LYN
3 - 1
FFC
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 1
LYN
20%
22%
58%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
LYN
4 - 3
FKA
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LYN
1 - 0
BRA
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
LYN
17%
20%
64%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |