Orizaba vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ALT
1 - 0
ORI
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
ORI
1 - 1
UAT
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CAO
2 - 1
ORI
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ORI
2 - 1
LOB
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
TAB
1 - 1
ORI
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
COB
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
MEX
3 - 1
CAÑ
35%
25%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CAÑ
3 - 0
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
CAÑ
3 - 0
ZAC
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |