Orizaba vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 0
DUR
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
ORI
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ORI
2 - 3
DOR
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 0
ORI
67%
20%
12%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 1
ALT
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
VER
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VER
2 - 2
DUR
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
REB
1 - 1
VER
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VER
2 - 1
MER
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
VER
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |