Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Orizaba vs Ua Ciudad Juárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 0
OUN
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RCU
0 - 1
ORI
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 1
IPC
65%
22%
14%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
TUT
0 - 3
ORI
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 0
CAZ
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Ua Ciudad Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 2
CIU
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CIU
1 - 1
LOR
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ZAC
1 - 1
CIU
41%
25%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CIM
1 - 1
CIU
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CIU
2 - 0
EST
24%
24%
51%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |