Orizaba vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
58.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DOR
1 - 0
ORI
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
ORI
2 - 0
ATL
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 0
ORI
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ORI
3 - 1
MER
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TIJ
3 - 1
ORI
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 1
UAT
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
REB
1 - 1
NEC
19%
26%
55%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 1
LEO
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 1
NEC
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 0
NEC
24%
26%
50%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |