Orizaba vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
PUM
2 - 0
ORI
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 0
MER
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
DOR
1 - 0
ORI
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
ORI
0 - 0
DOR
29%
27%
45%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ORI
4 - 2
TAM
42%
26%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
LOB
2 - 3
PUM
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
LOB
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
LOB
0 - 0
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
LOB
1 - 0
AGU
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
LEO
4 - 3
LOB
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |