Clausura Ascenso MX Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Orizaba vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
SNL
1 - 1
ORI
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
ORI
2 - 1
SNL
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
QRO
0 - 2
ORI
64%
21%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
ORI
4 - 1
UAT
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
MER
3 - 1
ORI
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
1 - 4
LEO
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2005 |
LEO
2 - 0
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
LEO
4 - 1
ALT
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
0 - 1
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
LEO
1 - 4
MEX
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |