Orizaba vs Guerreros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VER
1 - 0
ORI
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 1
UDG
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
IRA
1 - 0
ORI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 3
NEC
16%
26%
58%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DOR
1 - 0
ORI
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
GUE
1 - 2
UAT
27%
29%
44%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
REB
0 - 0
GUE
58%
23%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GUE
2 - 1
LEO
16%
23%
61%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 1
GUE
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
LOB
3 - 0
GUE
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |