Orizaba vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MON
3 - 2
ORI
31%
26%
44%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ORI
0 - 2
GUE
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
UDG
2 - 2
ORI
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
ORI
1 - 0
DOR
28%
27%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
REB
2 - 1
ORI
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
DUR
2 - 3
TIJ
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
TAM
1 - 1
DUR
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
DUR
0 - 1
MEX
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
LOB
1 - 2
DUR
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
DUR
1 - 1
IND
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |