Orizaba vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
JAG
1 - 1
ORI
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SAG
0 - 1
ORI
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 0
PUM
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ORI
0 - 0
LOB
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
TAM
2 - 1
ORI
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
PUM
1 - 0
CAZ
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CAZ
0 - 1
SAG
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
LOB
3 - 0
CAZ
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CAZ
4 - 2
TAM
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
MEX
2 - 1
CAZ
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |