Orizaba vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
PUM
1 - 1
ORI
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
ORI
1 - 0
TAM
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
MON
2 - 2
ORI
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ORI
0 - 0
TAM
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
TIJ
1 - 4
ORI
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CAZ
2 - 1
SAG
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CAZ
2 - 0
PUM
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
TAM
2 - 3
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TIG
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2006 |
AGU
4 - 4
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |