Orizaba vs Acapulco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2004 |
LEO
2 - 0
ORI
65%
20%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
COB
2 - 1
ORI
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ORI
1 - 0
MEX
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
MER
1 - 2
ORI
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
ORI
4 - 2
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Acapulco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ACA
0 - 2
COB
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
MEX
2 - 3
ACA
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
MER
1 - 1
ACA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 2
TOR
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
ZAC
1 - 2
ACA
35%
25%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |