HNK Orijent Rijeka vs Novalja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2012 |
JAP
6 - 1
ORI
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 2
ROV
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
OPA
1 - 0
ORI
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 1
DUG
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
STU
2 - 3
ORI
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
ROV
56%
24%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
DUG
2 - 1
NOV
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
VRB
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
NKC
1 - 0
NOV
44%
24%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 4
NKB
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |