Orihuela CF vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 1
ORI
56%
25%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 0
SIL
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PAI
1 - 1
ORI
16%
24%
60%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ORI
0 - 0
TOR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
ORI
0 - 0
ELC
8%
17%
75%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
NUC
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
REC
0 - 2
NOV
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
BOR
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
RAY
1 - 3
NOV
39%
27%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 2
OLI
24%
28%
48%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |