Orihuela CF vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ORI
0 - 2
RAY
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 1
ORI
65%
22%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SEG
1 - 1
ORI
13%
24%
63%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ORI
3 - 3
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 1
ORI
18%
25%
58%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
3 - 0
VIL
33%
26%
42%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 1
NOV
17%
24%
59%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 1
BOR
64%
22%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 1
NOV
22%
26%
52%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
CRE
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |