Orihuela CF vs Hércules B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
16º
1º
28
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
59% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 30% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
ORI
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 1
ATZ
48%
27%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GAN
0 - 1
ORI
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 0
PCF
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
ORI
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 0
HER
67%
21%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
VIL
29%
25%
45%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ATZ
2 - 2
HER
74%
18%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
GAN
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PCF
1 - 0
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |