Oriente Petrolero vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
59.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LAP
2 - 1
OPE
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
OPE
0 - 0
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
REA
2 - 5
OPE
25%
27%
49%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 0
LEO
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
OPE
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRE
9%
20%
71%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUN
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 1
VER
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 2
GRE
12%
22%
66%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 3
GRE
9%
20%
70%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |