Örgryte vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2003 |
ORG
3 - 1
HAL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
ORG
3 - 0
ZAL
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
ZAL
1 - 1
ORG
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
OIF
1 - 2
ORG
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
GIF
0 - 1
ORG
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
LHA
2 - 1
NIC
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 1
GIR
24%
27%
50%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
NIC
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
NIC
0 - 0
SED
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
REN
2 - 2
NIC
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |