Orellana vs Moraleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 0
ORE
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ORE
1 - 0
TRU
15%
21%
64%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 0
ORE
64%
20%
16%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ORE
0 - 6
CAC
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
ORE
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 2
CAS
26%
25%
50%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
TAL
3 - 2
MOR
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
MAL
56%
21%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
AMA
20%
24%
56%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +1 |