Orellana vs Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ORE
3 - 0
MOR
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 0
ORE
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ORE
1 - 0
TRU
15%
21%
64%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 0
ORE
64%
20%
16%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ORE
0 - 6
CAC
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 1
CAS
21%
23%
55%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TAL
2 - 0
MAL
46%
24%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 2
AMA
19%
24%
57%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 1
GIM
25%
24%
51%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
MAL
56%
21%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |