Oratorio Calvenzano vs Cividatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio Calvenzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAV
0 - 1
ORA
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BER
4 - 0
ORA
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ORA
1 - 0
COR
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 0
ORA
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ORA
0 - 0
AZZ
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cividatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CIV
2 - 5
MON
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAV
5 - 2
CIV
62%
20%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CIV
0 - 0
BOL
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
CIV
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CIV
2 - 2
COR
63%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |