Oratorio Calvenzano vs Cavenago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio Calvenzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 3
ORA
10%
17%
73%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ORA
3 - 0
BER
79%
14%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
COR
1 - 3
ORA
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ORA
2 - 1
BAD
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AZZ
0 - 0
ORA
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cavenago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAV
0 - 1
AUR
28%
23%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAV
1 - 1
MON
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAV
79%
14%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CIV
1 - 1
CAV
49%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAV
1 - 1
CRE
18%
21%
62%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |