Oppsal vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
59.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
10º
7º
46
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oppsal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SKE
4 - 2
OPP
30%
21%
49%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OPP
0 - 1
ASK
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MJO
3 - 0
OPP
12%
16%
72%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -3 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
OPP
0 - 0
KFU
55%
20%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
IFL
3 - 1
OPP
18%
18%
64%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ASK
0 - 1
BAR
60%
20%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
SAR
73%
15%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
KFU
2 - 2
BAR
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 3
MJO
91%
7%
3%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 5
BAR
14%
17%
70%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |