Operário vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CES
3 - 2
OPE
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 2
ANA
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
OPE
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 3
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -3 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 1
OPE
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 0
ESP
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
TOU
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
ESP
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
BUS
80%
14%
7%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 0
ESP
23%
25%
53%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |