Operario Atlético Clube vs Dourados AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operario Atlético Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AQU
2 - 1
OAC
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
IVI
1 - 1
OAC
77%
14%
8%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
OAC
4 - 4
NOV
15%
18%
68%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AOU
1 - 0
OAC
75%
15%
9%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OAC
2 - 1
AQU
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | +4 |
Matches
Dourados AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 1
AOU
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AOU
2 - 1
IVI
29%
23%
49%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AQU
2 - 2
AOU
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AOU
1 - 0
OAC
75%
15%
9%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AOU
2 - 0
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |