Onsala vs Tölö analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
9º
1º
30
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
47.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
89.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Onsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
IKT
3 - 1
OBK
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
OBK
2 - 3
VAR
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
HIT
0 - 3
OBK
16%
18%
66%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
OBK
3 - 1
LIS
74%
15%
12%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
OBK
4 - 1
LAH
90%
7%
3%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Tölö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TIF
5 - 0
HIT
42%
21%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
LAH
1 - 1
TIF
27%
21%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
TIF
2 - 2
HFF
16%
20%
65%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SAV
4 - 1
TIF
66%
17%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TIF
0 - 1
NFF
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |