11 Esperanças vs Almancilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
11 Esperanças
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FAB
1 - 0
ESP
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 3
33%
23%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CUL
0 - 1
ESP
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
QUA
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
ESP
28%
23%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
3 - 4
FAR
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MEG
0 - 3
ALM
8%
15%
77%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
4 - 0
IMO
21%
24%
55%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +5 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 3
ALM
8%
15%
76%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
4 - 1
SIL
87%
10%
4%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | -1 |