Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
4 - 1
SPO
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
OLI
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 2
DEP
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 3
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
55%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 2
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |