Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
OLI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 5
OLI
31%
26%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
12O
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 2
OLI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
5 - 0
GEN
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
12O
1 - 2
LIB
19%
26%
55%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |